2013年4月22日星期一

Q&A With The Doc: Will I Ever Get Back to Even on My 40% Underwater Gold & Silver Position?

SD reader Dave writes:

I Purchased $20,000 in gold and $60,000 in silver two years ago. I was lead to believe they were going way up due to money printing and zero interest rates. So far I am down 30-40%. All the fundamentals are right for higher prices but both metals have gone way down. Can these prices go up without a complete collapse of the dollar? I figure I only have about 10 years left to live. Will I ever get even? The only people touting the metals now are the people that make money on sales. 
  Thanks,  

Dave.

Doc: All major secular bull markets have major corrections.  As to your bad timing of purchasing $80,000 in gold and silver 2 years ago, I believe the bull market will forgive bad timing- provided you have the intestinal fortitude to be right and sit tight.
 
The fundamentals that have propelled gold from $270 to $1915 and silver from under $4/oz to $49.30 have not changed- if anything they have only continued to intensify.   Only those with the intestinal fortitude and conviction to be right and sit tight throughout the duration of the secular bull market in gold and silver will reap the full benefits.  Being right is the easy part, its the sitting tight that’s difficult.

The 3 previous major corrections in the current bull market to date have all lasted in the general time frame of 2 years.  In the wake of gold’s crash to $1320 and silver’s to $22, sentiment is terrible in the sector, yet major physical shortages of silver are developing, and we are even seeing the first signs of a shortage of retail investment gold products.  Expect these shortages to exacerbate and worsen in the coming weeks.

I believe this massive take-down in gold and silver is a last ditch attempt by the cartel to save the dollar and the financial system by preventing the public from recognizing gold and silver as safe havens as the fiat world burns to the ground.

The dollar is still perceived as a safe haven, but in reality, it no longer is.  Gold and silver are the last remaining safe havens, and they will be widely viewed as such before the current bull market is completed.   Those who can endure the pain and sit tight (and even add to their positions into painful corrections) I believe will be highly rewarded and will survive the coming financial destruction as the global derivative debt bubble collapses.


All the best!
-Doc

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