2011年10月14日星期五

白银空头做空意愿空前低落, 下轮大涨幅度一定令人印象深刻

轉載
http://hc347.blog.hexun.com/69036463_d.html

非危言聳聽 專家:人民幣大升值 美國將淪為二流國家

環球時報》消息,專家表示,美國國會議員們施壓人民幣升值,實際上是在危害美國的利益。這種做法損人卻不利己,會使美國迅速變成二流國家。
香港文匯網訊報導,儘管 99% 的中國人都只想本本分分地通過自己的誠實勞動換口飯吃,不想通過炒作貨幣發什麼洋財。中國政府也需要維護獨立自主的權利,不想被人牽著鼻子走。但是,中國 並不害怕人民幣升值。中國商務部研究院研究唐淳風表示,人民幣真要是全面升值,將會成為美國的巨大災難。試想一下,人民幣兌美元如果升到 1︰1 ,中國近 40 兆元人民幣的 GDP 變成近 40 兆美元時,是個什麼局面?

.中國的 GDP 總額將接近美國的 3 倍,佔全世界的一多半,一舉取代美國 GDP 第一大國的地位。
2.人民幣將取代美元成為國際貿易和外匯儲備的主要貨幣。負債纍纍的美國貨幣將被世界各國所棄用。
3.作為最大的債權國貨幣,人民幣受到全球追捧,貨幣供應總量大大超過國內需求。一舉取代美國當年像「全球央行」一樣的金融霸主地位。
4.升值了幾倍的人民幣將源源不斷地流向海外,購置能用貨幣購置的一切資源和財富。中國的海外資產將迅速超過日本成為世界一流。
5.全世界的生存吸引力和對中國投資的渴望,將迫使中國像日本一樣,以零利率貸款扶持海外投資。成千上萬今天還在為外國賣苦力的打工族,將帶著銀行貸款走向世界成為驅使外國人打工的老闆。
6.一旦美國經濟強國的霸主地位風光不再,羞辱和打擊將會接踵而來。美國的帝國大廈和支柱產業,或將成為別人的囊中之物,甚至連國會大廈和白宮也難保不用來抵押還債。

Peak Silver is Upon Us...

Posted by Brittany Stepniak - Thursday, October 13th, 2011

We're about to experience sharp silver production declines on worldwide depression, declining ore grades, and peaking world energy resources...
As we've entered a worldwide depression, the global community is about to peak in global silver production. It's important to note that this decline will NOT be because of a lack of physical silver to mine.
The resulting silver peak will be caused by current peaking of world energy resources, a falling Energy Returned On Invested – EROI, and the degeneracy of ore grades.
These factors could inevitably contribute peak mining for any of the industrial metals as well...
Steve St Angelo predicted this back in 2009. As the global depression was postponed via bank bailouts, we are just now setting the stage for the actual peak silver season.
Now, the world is entering a time of peak silver as well as peak oil. Steve's inevitable predictions are now coming to fruition. Take a look for yourself:

 
Image courtesy of zerohedge.com in Steve St. Angelo's Peak Silver Revisted report.



More evidence is seen if you take a look at silver production over the course of the past decade. On average, global silver production has increased by approximately 2-3 percent each year.
From 2010 to 2011, that trend is showing signs of a major shift. According to the World Silver Survey, worldwide silver production spiked up to 735 million ounces of silver in 2010. And while the 2011 silver production stats won't be complete for quite some time, data clearly shows that silver production quantities for 2011 just can't compete with last year's success. This year begins a whole new story...
While some top mining companies have increased production in 2011, many of them have experienced declines. The #1 producing silver mine in the entire world saw a drastic 18 percent decline in production from the first half of 2010 to the first half of 2011. Production quantities dropped by 3.4 million ounces at BHP Billiton's Cannington.
In fact, all mines that are suffering from falling ore grades are experiencing these sharp declines in silver production...
Here's a glimpse of silver production growth around the world; all with impressive peak production levels last year:

Image courtesy of zerohedge.com in Steve St. Angelo's Peak Silver Revisted report.

Despite many analysts predictions that silver production will increase for the next decade, there are just too many contrary factors showing why that is impossible:
It won’t matter if the global economy recovers in the next decade, because the peaking of oil and the falling EROI of energy will have destroyed enough net energy to kill any attempt to bring global silver production back to the level it was before.”