2012年2月6日星期一

新西蘭鑄幣局首席交易員:2012黃金價格走勢五大關注點

新西蘭鑄幣局(New Zealand Mint)首席金銀交易員Mike O"Kane近日撰文對未來一年內的黃金走勢給出五大關注要點,並認為實物黃金在2012年將繼續為投資者帶來正面收益。
以下Mike O"Kane對2012年黃金走勢五大關鍵的看法:
  1. 風險厭惡
即使金價今年以來漲勢緩慢,因全球金融危機深化帶來的價格波動可能加大,絕大多數分析師依然相信實物金價和黃金類股票將繼續上揚。
隨著投資者越來越傾向風險厭惡,黃金的避險屬性將開始得以表現,並幫助擴大黃金礦業​​類股票和其他股票間的差距。
黃金類股將能夠輕易、快速追隨金價上漲,但對於股票持倉的擔憂情緒或令投資者轉向實物黃金的購買。
  2. 紐元的波動
對於以紐元計價黃金的買賣雙方而言,紐元2012年的表現也是一個關鍵的問題。因全球市場看似具有彈性,且長期趨穩,目前紐元兌主要貨幣(美元、歐元、英鎊)呈現快速上揚。若美元兌紐元繼續走弱,賣出黃金可能成為一個更好的選擇。
  3. 需求vs供應
由於對實物黃金需求的增加,金條產品供應能力產生成本和時間問題。製造純金金條、金幣並供應投資市場並不是一個簡單的事情,也並不便宜。
在2007-2008年金融危機期間,金條供應周轉從最初的1週時間不斷上升至接近6個月,與需求的繼續增長同步。
  4. 改變消費者傾向
購買實物黃金已不再僅限於金融市場領域。根據人口統計分析,實物黃金購買者已經覆蓋各種年齡、收入、職業和性別。似乎所有人都希望買一些黃金。
  5. 正收益
以美元計價黃金去年連續第11年收漲,是不容忽視的趨勢。由於投資者將新西蘭視為投資穩定、安全的國家,且避險需求持續,新西蘭鑄幣局在2012年繼續呈現忙碌景象將不會令人感到意外。 (來源:匯通網)

美國13州考慮將金銀幣作為美元替代貨幣




 據美聯社報導,由於擔心美聯儲體系和美元已處於崩潰邊緣,美國越來越多的州尋求金銀幣作為替代貨幣。
包括明尼蘇達、南加州、佐治亞、田納西、愛荷華州在內13州議員尋求州政府批准發行州替代貨幣或考察其可行性,三年前只有3個州有類似提議。,州政府的財政和私人公司將被置入混亂的境地。
聯邦憲法允許社區發行自己的貨幣只要它與美元的區別特徵明顯,但禁止各州印製紙幣或發行貨幣,不過同時又許可金銀幣成為各州的法償貨幣。
對於贊成州發行貨幣的州議員來說,這意味著鑄金銀幣是不錯的對策。由於美元與黃金價值的差距呈指數倍擴大,自鑄金銀幣的想法對州政府越來越有吸引力。

http://www.gup.cc

Currency (Perth Mint) Determination 2011 (No. 3)

澳洲在2012年1月和2014年3月 共100 款 法定硬幣 公告




 Currency (Perth Mint) Determination 2011 (No. 3)

 Determinations as made This Determination gives legal tender status for 100 numismatic coins for release between January 2012 and March 2014.

Currency (Perth Mint) Determination 2011 (No. 3)


EXPLANATORY STATEMENT
Currency Act 1965
Currency (Perth Mint) Determination 2011 (No. 3)
Under subsection 13A(1) of the Currency Act 1965, the Assistant Treasurer has made a determination regarding the specifications of coins proposed to be issued by the Perth Mint.
Subsection 13A(1) of the Currency Act 1965 requires that the determination provide details of coin characteristics including standard composition, standard weight, allowable variation from standard weight, design and dimensions.
A determination made by the Assistant Treasurer is a disallowable instrument for the purposes of section 42 of the Legislative Instruments Act 2003.

2012 AUSTRALIAN KOOKABURRA – HIGH RELIEF (Item 1)

The design for this (1oz) silver proof coin consists of a representation of a kookaburra sitting on a leafy branch. The coin includes the following inscriptions ‘AUSTRALIAN KOOKABURRA’, ‘2012 1oz 999 SILVER’ and the initials of the designer Darryl Bellotti ‘DB’.

2012 AUSTRALIAN KOALA (Item 2)

The design for this (1kg) silver proof coin consists of a representation of a koala laying on top of a tree trunk. The coin includes the following inscriptions ‘AUSTRALIAN KOALA’, ‘2012 1kg 999 SILVER’ and the initials of the designer Aleysha Howarth ‘AH’.

2013 SILVER KOALA (Item 3)

The design for this (5oz) silver proof coin consists of a representation of a koala sitting in the fork of a leafy tree. The coin includes the following inscriptions ‘AUSTRALIAN KOALA’, ‘2013 5oz 999 SILVER’ and the initials of the designer Tom Vaughan ‘TV’.

SILVER YEAR OF THE DRAGON – HIGH RELIEF (Item 4)

The design for the 2012 Australian Lunar Year of the Dragon (1oz) Silver Proof Coin features a stylised representation of a dragon. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘Year of the Dragon’ along with the Pinyin pictograph pronounced ‘lóng’ and meaning ‘dragon’.
SILVER YEAR OF THE SNAKE – HIGH RELIEF (Item 5)
The design for this 2013 Australian Lunar Year of the Snake (1oz) silver coin consists of a representation of a snake entwined on a branch, surrounded by a pattern of lines. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘Year of the Snake’ along with the Pinyin pictograph pronounced ‘shé’ and meaning ‘snake’.

2013 PLATINUM PLATYPUS (Item 6)

The design for this (1oz) platinum bullion coin consists of a representation of a platypus superimposed on underwater grasses and bubbles. The coin includes the following inscriptions ‘AUSTRALIAN PLATYPUS’, ‘2013 1oz 9995 PLATINUM’ and the initials of the designer Natasha Muhl ‘NM’.

2012 RED KANGAROO (Item 7)

The design for this (1oz) gold bullion coin consists of a representation of sunrays surrounding a kangaroo. The coin includes the following inscriptions ‘RED KANGAROO’, ‘AUSTRALIAN KANGAROO’, ‘2012’ and ‘1oz 9999 GOLD’.

2013 RED KANGAROO (Item 8)

The design for this (1oz) gold bullion coin consists of a representation of sunrays surrounding a kangaroo. The coin includes the following inscriptions ‘RED KANGAROO’, ‘AUSTRALIAN KANGAROO’, ‘2013’ and ‘1oz 9999 GOLD’.

SILVER YEAR OF THE DRAGON - PROOF (Item 9)

The design for the 2012 Australian Lunar Year of the Dragon (5oz) Silver Proof Coin features a stylised representation of a dragon. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘Year of the Dragon’ along with the Pinyin pictograph pronounced ‘lóng’ and meaning ‘dragon’.
GOLD YEAR OF THE SNAKE - PROOF (Items 10-12)
The design for the 2013 Australian Lunar Year of the Snake (1oz, 1/4oz and 1/10oz) gold proof coins consists of a representation of a snake resting on grass with bamboo at its side, surrounded by a pattern of lines. The coins include the inscriptions ‘Year of the Snake’ along with the Pinyin pictograph pronounced ‘shé’ and meaning ‘snake’.
GOLD YEAR OF THE SNAKE - BULLION (Items 13 - 21)
The design for the 2013 Australian Lunar Year of the Snake (10kg, 1kg, 10oz, 2oz, 1oz, 1/2oz, 1/4oz, 1/10oz and 1/20oz) gold bullion coins consists of a representation of a snake resting on grass with bamboo at its side, surrounded by a pattern of lines. The coins include the inscriptions ‘Year of the Snake’ along with the Pinyin pictograph pronounced ‘shé’ and meaning ‘snake’.
GOLD YEAR OF THE SNAKE - PROOF COLOURED (Items 22 - 24)
The design for the 2013 Australian Lunar Year of the Snake (1oz, 1/4oz, and 1/10oz) gold proof coloured coins consists of a representation of a coloured snake resting on grass with bamboo at its side, surrounded by a pattern of lines. The coins include the inscriptions ‘Year of the Snake’ along with the Pinyin pictograph pronounced ‘shé’ and meaning ‘snake’.
GOLD YEAR OF THE SNAKE - BULLION COLOURED (Items 25 - 29)
The design for the 2013 Australian Lunar Year of the Snake (1oz, 1/2oz, 1/4oz, 1/10oz and 1/20oz) gold bullion coloured coins consists of a representation of a coloured snake resting on grass with bamboo at its side, surrounded by a pattern of lines. The coins include the inscriptions ‘Year of the Snake’ along with the Pinyin pictograph pronounced ‘shé’ and meaning ‘snake’.


SILVER YEAR OF THE SNAKE - PROOF (Items 30- 33)
The design for the 2013 Australian Lunar Year of the Snake (1kg, 2oz, 1oz and 1/2oz) silver proof coins consists of a representation of a snake entwined on a branch, surrounded by a pattern of lines. The coins include the inscriptions ‘Year of the Snake’ along with the Pinyin pictograph pronounced ‘shé’ and meaning ‘snake’.
SILVER YEAR OF THE SNAKE - BULLION (Items 34 - 40)
The design for the 2013 Australian Lunar Year of the Snake (10kg, 1kg, 10oz, 5oz, 2oz, 1oz and 1/2oz) silver bullion coins consists of a representation of a snake entwined on a branch, surrounded by a pattern of lines. The coins include the inscriptions ‘Year of the Snake’ along with the Pinyin pictograph pronounced ‘shé’ and meaning ‘snake’.
SILVER YEAR OF THE SNAKE - PROOF COLOURED (Items 41 - 43)
The design for the 2013 Australian Lunar Year of the Snake (1kg, 1oz and 1/2oz) silver proof coloured coins consists of a representation of a coloured snake entwined on a branch, surrounded by a pattern of lines. The coins include the inscriptions ‘Year of the Snake’ along with the Pinyin pictograph pronounced ‘shé’ and meaning ‘snake’.
SILVER YEAR OF THE SNAKE - BULLION COLOURED (Items 44 - 49)
The design for the 2013 Australian Lunar Year of the Snake (1kg, 10oz, 5oz, 2oz, 1oz and 1/2oz) silver bullion coloured coins consists of a representation of a coloured snake entwined on a branch, surrounded by a pattern of lines. The coins include the inscriptions ‘Year of the Snake’ along with the Pinyin pictograph pronounced ‘shé’ and meaning ‘snake’.
SILVER YEAR OF THE SNAKE - GILDED (Item 50)
The design for this 2013 Australian Lunar Year of the Snake (1oz) silver gilded coin consists of a representation of a gilded snake entwined on a branch, surrounded by a pattern of lines. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘Year of the Snake’ along with the Pinyin pictograph pronounced ‘shé’ and meaning ‘snake’.
SILVER YEAR OF THE SNAKE - GEM EYE (Item 51)
The design for this 2013 Australian Lunar Year of the Snake (1kg) silver coloured coin consists of a representation of a coloured snake with a gemstone inset into its eye, entwined on a branch, surrounded by a pattern of lines. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘Year of the Snake’ along with the Pinyin pictograph pronounced ‘shé’ and meaning ‘snake’.
YEAR OF THE SNAKE - ALUMINIUM BRONZE (Item 52)
The design for this 2013 Australian Lunar Year of the Snake (30mm) aluminium bronze coin consists of a representation of a snake entwined on a branch, surrounded by a pattern of lines. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘Year of the Snake’ along with the Pinyin pictograph pronounced ‘shé’ and meaning ‘snake’.

 

2012 LUNAR DRAGON - PRIVY MARK ISSUE (Item 53)

The design on the 2012 Lunar Dragon - Privy Mark Issue (1oz) silver coin depicts a representation of a dragon along with a privy mark of a circle enclosing a representation of a lion. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘Year of the Dragon’ along with the Pinyin pictograph pronounced ‘lóng’ and meaning ‘dragon’.

2013 LUNAR SNAKE - PRIVY MARK ISSUE (Item 54)

The design for this 2013 Australian Lunar Year of the Snake coin consists of a representation of a snake entwined on a branch, surrounded by a pattern of lines. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘Year of the Snake’ along with the Pinyin pictograph pronounced ‘shé’ and meaning ‘snake’.
YOUNG COLLECTORS - ANIMAL ATHLETES (Items 55 - 60)
Kangaroo
The design for this aluminium bronze (30mm) coin depicts a representation of two kangaroos in a boxing pose superimposed over a colour finish of an outback landscape with rock formations, dry grasses and leafless trees. Immediately inside the rim of the coin is a pattern of lines forming a circle along with a pattern of lines arching across the lower half of the coin. The coin includes the inscription ‘1’ and the initials of the designer Tom Vaughan ‘TV’.
Monarch Butterfly
The design for this aluminium bronze (30mm) coin depicts a representation of a butterfly in colour finish, superimposed over a landscape with mountain ranges, grassy plains, trees and a flutter of butterflies. Immediately inside the rim of the coin is a pattern lines forming a circle along with a pattern of lines arching across the lower half of the coin. The coin includes the inscription ‘1’ and the initials of the designer Tom Vaughan ‘TV’.
Cheetah
The design for this aluminium bronze (30mm) coin depicts a representation of a cheetah superimposed over a colour finish of a landscape with grass lands, a leafy tree and mountain ranges on the horizon. Immediately inside the rim of the coin is a pattern of lines forming a circle along with a pattern of lines arching across the lower half of the coin. The coin includes the inscription ‘1’ and the initials of the designer Aleysha Howarth ‘AH’.
Sailfish
The design for this aluminium bronze (30mm) coin depicts a representation of a fish in colour finish superimposed over a school of fish forming a circle. Immediately inside the rim of the coin is a pattern of lines forming a circle along with a pattern of lines arching across the lower half of the coin. The coin includes the inscription ‘1’ and the initials of the designer Natasha Muhl ‘NM’.


Rhinoceros Beetle
The design for this aluminium bronze (30mm) coin depicts a representation of two beetles with one beetle lifting the other above its head superimposed over a colour finish of a forest showing tree trunks, creepers, leaves and leafy trees in the background. Immediately inside the rim of the coin is a pattern of lines forming a circle along with a pattern of lines arching across the lower half of the coin. The coin includes the inscription ‘1’ and the initials of the designer Wade Robinson ‘WR’.
Rocket Frog
The design for this aluminium bronze (30mm) coin depicts a representation of two frogs in colour finish superimposed over swamp land with a fly and snail. Immediately inside the rim of the coin is a pattern of lines forming a circle along with a pattern of lines arching across the lower half of the coin. The coin includes the inscription ‘1’ and the initials of the designer Tom Vaughan ‘TV’.
AUSTRALIAN BUSH BABIES - SERIES II SILVER (Items 61- 65)
Kookaburra
The design for this (1/2oz) silver proof coin depicts a representation of a kookaburra in colour finish, superimposed over native Australian leaves, flowers and a spider. The coin includes the inscription ‘Australian kookaburra’ and the initials of the designer Elise Martinson ‘EM’.
Possum
The design for this (1/2oz) silver proof coin depicts a representation of a possum in colour finish, superimposed over native Australian leaves, flowers and a bee. The coin includes the inscription ‘Australian possum’ and the initials of the designer Elise Martinson ‘EM’.
Platypus
The design for this (1/2oz) silver proof coin depicts a representation of a platypus in colour finish, superimposed over native Australian leaves, flowers and a cricket. The coin includes the inscription ‘Australian platypus’ and the initials of the designer Elise Martinson ‘EM’.
Echidna
The design for this (1/2oz) silver proof coin depicts a representation of an echidna in colour finish, superimposed over native Australian leaves, flowers and an ant. The coin includes the inscription ‘Australian echidna’ and the initials of the designer Elise Martinson ‘EM’.
Wombat
The design for this (1/2oz) silver proof coin depicts a representation of a wombat in colour finish, superimposed over native Australian leaves, flowers and a caterpillar. The coin includes the inscription ‘Australian wombat’ and the initials of the designer Elise Martinson ‘EM’.
AUSTRALIAN BUSH BABIES - SERIES II ALUMINIUM BRONZE (Items 66 - 70)
Kookaburra
The design for this (30mm) aluminium bronze coin depicts a representation of a kookaburra superimposed over native Australian leaves, flowers and a spider. The coin includes the inscription ‘Australian kookaburra’ and the initials of the designer Elise Martinson ‘EM’.
Possum
The design for this (30mm) aluminium bronze coin depicts a representation of a possum superimposed over native Australian leaves, flowers and a bee. The coin includes the inscription ‘Australian possum’ and the initials of the designer Elise Martinson ‘EM’.
Platypus
The design for this (30mm) aluminium bronze coin depicts a representation of a platypus superimposed over native Australian leaves, flowers and a cricket. The coin includes the inscription ‘Australian platypus’ and the initials of the designer Elise Martinson ‘EM’.
Echidna
The design for this (30mm) aluminium bronze coin depicts a representation of an echidna superimposed over native Australian leaves, flowers and an ant. The coin includes the inscription ‘Australian echidna’ and the initials of the designer Elise Martinson ‘EM’.
Wombat
The design for this (30mm) aluminium bronze coin depicts a representation of a wombat superimposed over native Australian leaves, flowers and a caterpillar. The coin includes the inscription ‘Australian wombat’ and the initials of the designer Elise Martinson ‘EM’.
BIRDS OF AUSTRALIA (Items 71 - 75)
Black Cockatoo
The design for this (1/2oz) silver proof coin depicts a representation of a cockatoo in colour finish, superimposed over native Australian leaves, flowers and a tree stump. The coin includes the inscription ‘RED-TAILED BLACK-COCKATOO’ and the initials of the designer Natasha Muhl ‘NM’.           
Budgerigar
The design for this (1/2oz) silver proof coin depicts a representation of a budgerigar in colour finish, superimposed over a tree stump and native Australian flowers. The coin includes the inscription ‘BUDGERIGAR’ and the initials of the designer Natasha Muhl ‘NM’.
Regent Bowerbird
The design for this (1/2oz) silver proof coin depicts a representation of two bowerbirds in colour finish, superimposed over leafy twigs. The coin includes the inscription ‘REGENT BOWERBIRD’ and the initials of the designer Natasha Muhl ‘NM’.
Rainbow Lorikeet
The design for this (1/2oz) silver proof coin depicts a representation of a lorikeet in colour finish, superimposed over a leafy branch with flowers. The coin includes the inscription ‘RAINBOW LORIKEET’ and the initials of the designer Natasha Muhl ‘NM’.


Splendid Wren
The design for this (1/2oz) silver proof coin depicts a representation of two splendid fairy-wrens in colour finish superimposed over several leafy twigs. The coin includes the inscription ‘SPLENDID FAIRY-WREN’ and the initials of the designer Natasha Muhl ‘NM’.
AUSTRALIAN ANTARCTIC TERRITORY - AURORA AUSTRALIS (Item 76)
The design for this (1oz) silver proof coin consists of an outline representing a map of Antarctica, surrounding a representation of person looking over snowfields with a tracked transport vehicle on the horizon with a colour finish of stars and the Aurora Australis in the sky; and a background polar grid pattern, with some segments shaded and some segments unshaded, outside the map outline. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘Australian Antarctic Territory’, ‘2013 - Aurora Australis’, ‘1OZ 99.9 SILVER, and the initials of the designer Aleysha Howarth ‘AH’.
TREASURES OF THE WORLD (Items 77 - 82)
North America
The design for this (1oz) silver proof coin and (1oz) gold proof coin depicts a representation of a barren landscape featuring a cactus, tumbleweed and cliff faces along with a transparent circular capsule holding loose turquoise. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘TREASURES OF THE WORLD’, ‘TURQUOISE’ and the initials of the designer Natasha Muhl ‘NM’.
Europe
The design for this (1oz) silver proof coin and (1oz) gold proof coin depicts a representation of leafy twigs superimposed over the lower section of a landscape featuring a building surrounded by a grassy field, two trees and snow capped mountains on the horizon along with a transparent circular capsule holding loose garnet. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘TREASURES OF THE WORLD’, ‘GARNET’ and the initials of the designer Natasha Muhl ‘NM’.
Australia
The design for this (1oz) silver proof coin and (1oz) gold proof coin depicts a representation of a kangaroo and a desert landscape featuring tumble weed and grasstrees along with a transparent circular capsule holding loose gold. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘TREASURES OF THE WORLD’, ‘GOLD’ and the initials of the designer Natasha Muhl ‘NM’.
2013 CITIZENSHIP COIN (Item 83)
The design for this (30mm) aluminium bronze coin depicts a representation of the conventional Australian Commonwealth Coat of Arms. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘AUSTRALIAN’ and ‘CITIZENSHIP’.
2013 ANZAC DAY - ENGINEERS (Item 84)
The design for this (30mm) aluminium bronze coin consists of a representation of a person wearing an army uniform with various pieces of equipment strapped to his back and holding a metal detector, along with a bulldozer with a person sitting in the cabin superimposed over cleared land. Also included on the coin is a silhouette of a person wearing an army uniform playing a bugle. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘Lest We Forget’, ‘April 25’ and the initials of the designer Wade Robinson ‘WR’.
2014 ANZAC DAY - SUBMARINERS (Item 85)
The design for this (30mm) aluminium bronze coin consists of a representation of four people wearing sailor’s uniforms, with two sitting down and two standing behind them. Also included on the coin is a representation of a partially submerged submarine along with a silhouette of a person wearing an army uniform playing a bugle. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘Lest We Forget’, ‘April 25’ and the initials of the designer Tom Vaughan ‘TV’.
2012 MINI KANGAROO (Item 86)
The design for this (0.5g) gold bullion coin depicts a representation of a kangaroo superimposed over cleared land with, a windmill and water tank. The coin includes the inscription ‘0.5 GRAM 9999 GOLD’.
2013 MINI KANGAROO (Item 87)
The design for this (0.5g) gold bullion coin depicts a representation of a kangaroo. The coin includes the inscription ‘0.5 GRAM 9999 GOLD’.
200th ANNIVERSARY OF LUDWIG LEICHHARDT (Items 88 - 89)
Silver Coin
The design for this (2oz) silver proof coin depicts a representation of a portrait of a bearded man, superimposed over a colour finish of a map showing the north east of Australia with a thick line just inside the edge of the land mass. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘LUDWIG’, ‘LEICHHARDT’, ‘1813’, ‘1848’, ‘2oz 999 SILVER’ and the initials of the designer Wade Robinson ‘WR’.
Aluminium Bronze Coin
The design for this (30mm) aluminium bronze coin depicts a representation of a portrait of a bearded man, superimposed over a map showing the north east of Australia with a thick line just inside the edge of the land mass. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘LUDWIG’, ‘LEICHHARDT’, ‘1813’, ‘1848’ and the initials of the designer Wade Robinson ‘WR’.
AUSTRALIAN OLYMPIC COMMITTEE (AOC) STAMP SHAPED COIN (Item 90)
The design for this (1/2oz) silver coin depicts representations of the official AOC logo, a representation of a double decker bus and representations of a cathedral dome, a ferris-wheel and a clock tower in the background.  The coin includes the inscriptions ‘©’, ‘2012’, ‘60c’ and ‘Australia’.
The representations of the AOC logo, ‘60c’, ‘AUSTRALIA’ and the representation of a double-decker bus are in colour finish.
2012 FIFA (Item 91)
The design for this (1/2oz) silver proof coin depicts a representation of a person wearing patterned clothing and kicking a ball, superimposed over a stylised map of Australia and surrounded by a pattern of dots and lines in colour finish. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘2014 FIFA WORLD CUP BRAZIL’, ‘ TM’ and the initials of the designer Darryl Bellotti ‘DB’.

2012 FIFA (Item 92)
The design for this 0.5g gold proof coin depicts a representation of a person wearing patterned clothing and kicking a ball, superimposed over a stylised map of Australia and surrounded by a pattern of dots and lines. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘2014 FIFA WORLD CUP BRAZIL’ and ‘TM’.
2013 FIFA (Item 93)
The design for this (1/4oz) gold proof coin depicts a representation of a person wearing patterned clothing and kicking a ball, superimposed over a stylised map of Australia and surrounded by a pattern of dots and lines. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘2014 FIFA WORLD CUP BRAZIL’, ‘TM’ and the initials of the designer Darryl Bellotti ‘DB’.
200th ANNIVERSARY OF AUSTRALIAN HOLEY DOLLAR AND DUMP COINS   (Items 94-95)
To commemorate the 200th Anniversary of the Australian Holey Dollar and Dump, the design consists of a representation of a 1788 Spanish Dollar, punched out in the centre and includes a part portrait of a man and the inscriptions ‘CAROLUS III DEI GRATIA’, ‘1788’ on the outer rim and ‘NEW SOUTH WALES’ and ‘1813’ on the inner rim.
The design of the ‘dump’ in proof finish consists of a representation of the British Royal Crown and the inscriptions ‘ NEW SOUTH WALES’ and ‘1813’.
2012 AUSTRALIAN MAP COINS (Items 96 - 97)
Kookaburra
The design for this (1oz) silver bullion coin depicts a representation of a kookaburra superimposed over a colour finish of a farming landscape featuring fields, tree and fences. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘KOOKABURRA’ ‘1oz 999 SILVER’, ‘2012’ and the initials of the designer Ing Jong ‘IJ’.
Emu
The design for this (1oz) silver bullion coin depicts a representation of an emu superimposed over a colour finish of outback landscape featuring grass trees.  The coin includes the inscriptions ‘EMU’ ‘1oz 999 SILVER’, ‘2012’ and the initials of the designer Ing Jong ‘IJ’.
AUSTRALIAN ANIMALS IN OPAL COINS (Items 98 - 99)
Koala
An insert of opal consisting of a koala on a tree trunk and a representation of gumnuts and flowers, a waxing moon, and the Southern Cross. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘KOALA’, ‘2012’, 1oz 999 SILVER’ and the initials of the designer Aleysha Howarth ‘AH’.
Wombat
An insert of opal consisting of a wombat on the ground and a representation of native plants, flowers, a gibbous moon, and the Southern Cross The coin includes the inscriptions ‘WOMBAT’, ‘2012’, 1oz 999 SILVER’ and the initials of the designer Aleysha Howarth ‘AH’.


2012 CHRISTMAS COIN (Item 100)
The design for this 30mm aluminium bronze coin consists of a representation in colour finish of two silver bells tied together with a red ribbon and sprigs of green mistletoe. The coin includes the inscriptions ‘Merry Christmas And A Happy New Year 2012’, and the initials of the designer Natasha Muhl ‘NM’.
PUBLIC CONSULTATION
GoldCorp Australia has undertaken consultation among its network of Australian and international wholesale distributors. Authorised Australian distributors of Perth Mint products are consulted regularly during business meetings and participation at the Australian Numismatic Dealers’ Association Coin, Banknote and Stamp shows and Licensed Post Office Conferences held throughout Australia.  Likewise, international distributors are consulted during a schedule of individual meetings hosted during the World Money Fair held in Berlin and the American Numismatic Association’s World’s Fair of Money. 
In some instances when a major program is in concept stage we would conduct market research through focus groups to assist us in preparing designs.
Limited consultation is conducted with external parties due to the confidentiality of coin themes and artwork, due to the risk of competitors viewing our innovations and potentially releasing similar coins into the market prior to our release.
Members of the public have the opportunity to contact us to present any themes they would like to see commemorated on Australian legal tender.  These concepts are then researched and presented to GoldCorp Australia’s sales and marketing department for consideration and feedback.


www.comlaw.gov.au 

環球股市超買 有貨趁高沽 麥嘉華



我多次在文章中指出,貨幣政策高度寬鬆所帶來的惡果,就是造成財富分配不均。當中央銀行「有意無意間」創造出泡沫,無論是樓市泡沫還是股市泡沫,很多時投資初哥都會成為犧牲者,其中有首次置業人士,也有全無經驗的股民。


有報告指出,美國有37%的年輕家庭淪為「無產階級」或負資產苦主。這意味着消費增長、房屋需求,以至未來的國內生產總值(GDP)增長,都難望帶來甚麼驚喜。


企業盈利恐大倒退
試想一下,假如這些年輕家庭手頭上根本沒有股票,美國總統奧巴馬提出的劫富濟貧政策正合他們心意,因為政府一方面會向富裕一族多徵稅,另一方面會更慷慨地派錢。若如是,不難想像未來的GDP增長會被嚴重拖慢,另一邊廂企業也普遍不會有好日子過,盈利恐怕會大倒退。


我心目中的傑出經濟師梅力克表示,不管是考究「周期性還是結構性理由」,美國企業盈利已接近見頂;外圍經濟增長放慢腳步,加上美國經濟擴張力度微弱,勢將對企業利潤構成壓力。美國企業盈利極受海外和本地經濟增長所影響,可是在過去一年裏,美國非金融環節的平均毛利率攀升至有紀錄以來最高水平,無視產量下降的衝擊。梅力克解釋,關鍵在於勞工成本,其對國內生產總值(GDP)的比率,已跌至50年來最低的水平。


眾所周知,企業過往主要靠減省勞工成本開支去提升盈利,這股趨勢能否持續下去?梅力克認為,如今不同的是,打工一族收入正處於數十年來最低點,可是消費者開支卻是歷來最高,面對收入與支出的鴻溝擴大,結果就是儲蓄率下降。


過去3年裏,整體工資未致於大跌,主要是靠政府慷慨派錢,社保淨支出佔可支配收入總額的比率現已升至12%,較2007年底的7%高出一大截。我要補充一點,在工資向下的日子裏,消費開支佔GDP比率不跌反升,原因是家庭自1980年代開始一直依賴借貸來滿足消費意欲。


所以,梅力克總結說,長貧難顧,政府不可能長期打這張牌,同時人工又未見顯著增長,故此家庭很難一直維持目前的生活質素和消費力。企業進一步削減支出可能會引發衰退,反觀增聘人手會支持經濟增長,但要犧牲一下,少賺一點。


2月向來不利股市
另一經濟師耶丹尼表示,標普500的「淨盈利檢討指數」從去年10月份的6%,降至同年11月的-10.5%,為2009年5月以來最低水平,而該指數越接近-100%,代表越多企業發出盈利預警。另一指標顯示,在去年第3季,企業成績表雖然十分亮麗,分析師卻看淡盈利前景。


股價通常會早一步反映盈利前景。換句話說,股市在2011年底轉弱,意味着企業盈利難有好表現,最終恐怕會加重股市向下壓力。世界各地投資者都在談論着資產泡沫,卻鮮有聽見有人高呼企業盈利泡沫。我不是預測企業盈利將會災難性地倒退,只是不排除公司利潤會在今年下跌;令人失望的企業盈利,或多或少會對股市構成負面影響。


在去年最後的3個月,環球股市呈現超賣,如今卻是超買。再加上2月份向來較不利股市,因此股民不妨考慮趁高沽貨。

葡債病已屆末期




經濟轉差,政府收支只會惡化;債息趨升,本利和額只會增加。在這兩個背景下,若非外人出手相助,否則歐債結局只有兩個:一是慢慢違約,即QE;二是快快違約。

快快,即是幾快呢?利率(債息)通常是bounded timeseries,若其升勢快如股、樓價格呈指數升速,或以對數比例呈直線上升,就算是「快快」了。將五季前後的希臘、葡萄牙兩年期國債孳息拼圖,可見葡息正在蓄勢待發,在對數比例下直線上沖。踏入此區,債息將直指二三十厘,很快便會以十厘計地向上,屬於末期,無得救了,只待違約。

西班牙、意大利雖暫未至此,但諸豬屬同一失敗模式,步其後塵,只是時間問題而已。

溫家寶﹕幫助歐洲就是幫助中國自己

國國務院總理溫家寶在中央政府網站週日發佈的一份公告中稱﹐從戰略角度而言﹐幫助歐洲解決債務危機符合國家利益。

溫家寶在廣東考察時表示﹐現在歐洲面臨債務危機﹐要從戰略上考慮對歐關係﹐維護國家利益。

溫家寶還稱﹐社會各界要瞭解﹐幫助歐洲符合中國自身利益。

他表示﹐一方面﹐歐洲是中國最大的出口市場﹐另一方面﹐歐洲又是中國引進技術的最大來源地。從這個角度看﹐幫助穩定歐洲市場﹐實際上也是幫助中國自身。

上週四溫家寶在與來訪的德國總理默克爾(Angela Merkel)共同會見記者時表示﹐中國正在考慮更大力度參與歐洲的救助基金﹐但同時強調歐洲需要解決自身的問題。

這是迄今為止中國在公開場合就可能加大對歐洲救助基金投資的問題作出的最明確表態。中國龐大的外匯儲備規模有助於減輕歐洲的主權債務危機。

中國一直在購買歐洲金融穩定基金(European Financial Stability Facility, 簡稱EFSF)發行的債券﹐不過具體買入規模從未對外披露。

歐債危機爆發以來﹐中國出口行業已經受到影響。溫家寶表示﹐面對嚴峻形勢﹐中國必須保持進出口政策的總體穩定。

他還表示﹐中國出口企業必須提升競爭力﹐調整出口結構﹐開辟新的市場。

金價漲不停 銀樓生意跌不休



記者廖淑玲、吳為恭、丁偉杰、張協昇/連線報導


金價漲不停,銀樓反而未受益,尤其今年景氣不佳,春節期間金飾買氣未見好轉,不少店家「關門大吉」!


雲林縣銀樓業者估算,至少有3成店家休息,雲林縣金銀珠寶商業同業公會則說明,因交易少,業者大多是比較「捨得」休息,全縣歇業家數只有1家。


北港金飾業者林芳吟說,因為金價飆高,上門生意變少,有的業者開始兼做匾額、小禮品、小飾品、琉璃金箔等飾品;相較以往每到過年常忙著打造金飾,甚至連手都結繭,他自我解嘲有如「度小月」,今年春節前後的交易量,較往年少了近3分之2,只能大嘆景氣差到不行。


在彰化市開銀樓店的台灣省金銀珠寶公會前理事長曾健民表示,金價從10年前開始漲,目前已漲到1錢6300多元,過去結婚常要購買金飾,現在也大多改買其他飾品取代,據他估算,彰化縣過去有170多家銀樓,現在大概僅剩140多家。


而嘉市的銀樓業者目前更不到80家,銀樓老闆陳人維回憶說,約在3、4年前金價每錢飆破3800元,創下40年來新高時,有幾家銀樓第二代放棄接手家族事業,紛吹熄燈號。嘉義市金銀珠寶公會人員表示,金飾商品中,以彌月金飾銷量銳減最為明顯,以前民眾最少買1錢,現在只買1分,業者邊做邊叫苦。


台中市施姓銀樓業者表示,黃金價格高漲後,店面交易確實呈現「賣多買少」情況,營業額因而大幅減少約3分之1,業者只好將收來的金飾拿到香港國際黃金交易中心賣掉,利潤當然比直接賣給客人少,確實不好經營。

銀市呈不尋常行情

石林

 

下面討論的,不是金融市場走勢教科書中所說的例子,而是目前發生的真實事情。

GoldMoney創辦人James Turk上周在一個白銀投資年會上重申,他的目標是到2013年至2015年銀價約升至400元(美元.下同)。

請各位注意,他說的不是40元,而是400元!

 

但與此同時,我們見到COMEX期銀市場2015年12月合約上周末的結算價報33.341元;最遠期為2016年12月合約結算價更便宜,只報33.097元。換言之,兩者均比現時的2012年2月合約結算價33.725元為低,期銀市場正在強化近期出現的期貨價格比現貨價格為低的Backwardation行情。

假如James Turk將自己的目標身體力行,或很多人對其認同並付諸行動,他們最佳做法應該是大量買入2016年12月期銀合約。除了價格便宜之外,且在今後四年多的時間毋須作出掉期安排,亦毋須為該合約再付出利息(因期貨合約價已內含利息因素),待到2013年至2015年期間平倉結算,便可獲取巨利!

但事實上他們似乎沒有這樣做,因到目前為止,該月份期銀的未平倉合約數量只得四張,即幾乎無人問津。

去今兩年背景不同

有關討論尚未結束,因為不少分析者認為,期貨市場出現Backwardation應該是一個牛市現象;然而,這些分析者或許忽視了產生這行情的不同背景。

一年前COMEX期銀也出現過Backwardation行情,其後銀價確是繼續向上攀升。但當年COMEX倉庫的白銀存貨量是從高位降至四年的低水平,即現貨需求殷切,白銀從倉庫被人大量提取。故出現現貨銀價高於期貨銀價的行情,用「現貨升水」去形容可能較為恰當。

但是現時背景剛好相反,近半年多來COMEX倉庫的白銀存貨量從0.98億盎斯的低谷,急增升至上周四的1.308億盎斯,增幅逾30%,增加數量相當於1020噸。換言之,近半年來很多人向交易所交出白銀實貨,而很少人去提取,故造成目前期銀價格比現貨銀更便宜的行情,這用「期貨貼水」去形容當更為貼切。

從以上實例討論,我們可以見到分析者與市場對銀價前景的判斷存有重大分歧;但交易所倉庫白銀存貨的增減相信更能反映出經濟是在擴張、還是在收縮。

決鬥之地在滙市

類似的看法分歧最近在貴金屬價格大幅波動上明顯地反映出來,其中亦顯示出投資者情緒的飄忽擺動。

例如,前周市場對聯邦儲備局會採取新的寬鬆政策充滿憧憬,黃金價格繼續升至上周末的高位1763元(也正好是敝欄上期估計的高位),但聞美國失業率降至三年低位,QE3或許無望,金價即大幅跌回到1723元。在市場看法存嚴重分歧的時候,類似波動會頻頻發生。

期金市場沒有發生類似期銀市場的Backwardation而是正常的Contango;COMEX倉庫的黃金存貨量近年來只在高水平上徘徊,上周四存量為1152萬盎斯。但金與銀為兄弟,我們宜提防來自銀市的影響。

當前金市仍為上落市勢,惟短期略為轉弱,1763元已被證明是阻力,日內在1740元將有回升阻力,支持則在1715元。1703元為金市中短期重要支持,若此位失守,會回試到1680元水平。

銀市已在34.40元位受阻,短期亦略轉弱並會在34元水平有回升阻力,而支持在32.8元至33元地帶。中短期銀市重要支持在31.5元,若此位失守銀價恐回試至30.3元水平。

美元強弱是關鍵地影響到其他市場取向,而目前歐羅滙市是牛與熊作懸崖決鬥之地,到上周勝負仍未分,我們宜全力關注這方面的戰情演變。

走私金銀來港激增

新報網站


歐美經濟不穩,不少人買金、買銀保值,由於中港兩地黃金白銀價格差距拉闊,以及內地管制重金屬出口,海關去年就偵破10宗內地走私金條及銀條來港案件,比前年的4宗激增一倍半,檢獲重金屬總值亦超過5,000萬元,遠比前年的430萬為高,當中更以走私白銀為主。另外,因應透過互聯網及雲端科技涉及侵權物品的罪行日益嚴重,海關今年將會動用400萬元成立科技罪案研究所,打擊此類罪行,並希望找出隱藏IP地址的犯罪份子。 採訪:靜態組 


海關關長張雲正昨總結海關去年工作時,指由於國際市場對白銀需求不斷,以及內地白銀與本港存在一定的差價,所以存在走私誘因。海關發現走私金條、銀條案較以前活躍,過去兩年,走私貴金屬案件主要涉及由內地走私白銀到香港。在2011年的10宗走私貴金屬案件中,有9宗涉及白銀走私。
海關資料顯示,2011年香港白銀價大部份時間較內地昂貴,每月平均差價達每公斤由128港元至1,766港元不等。
內地金價較港便宜一成
助理關長譚耀強補充說,走私黃金主要來自廣東省,來港後再轉出口,每次偷運數十條金條,他說:「內地市場價平過香港,差距超過10%,加上內地管制出口,龍年效應,都是誘因。」譚耀強又指出,不法份子多數利用貨櫃車拖架的橫鐵通,劏開一條鐵通,藏於暗格,或藏於貨車上的大工具箱內。海關會專注風險高車種檢查、X光機及人手針對性檢查某個位置。
海關去年偵破202宗走私案件,較去年減少22%,但檢獲物品總值較前年的3.93億元大幅上升82%至超過7.15億元,以內港走私為主,由香港走私往內地,主要以電腦、手機及相關配件、電子產品等高價值貨品,從內地走私入香港的多為私煙和侵權物品。

金价强势反弹 全国掀起黄金抢购热潮 经济滚动

自美联储(FED)上周宣布将近零利率保持到2014年底,金价当周跳涨约5%。瑞银财富管理(UBS Wealth Management)商品研究主管Dominic Schnider则表示:“市场情绪已经显著上扬,黄金目前已经进入了牛市,较以往更甚,美联储的决议给黄金提供了足够的基本面支撑。”

  在全面利好消息的影响下,黄金被誉为“最佳生财工具”,国内黄金消费市场一片沸腾,全国各大金行人声鼎沸,货品供不应求。黄金珠宝行业消费增长率更是远超其他行业。据中国黄金投资理财第一家、知名珠宝商瑞金国际市场人员介绍,春节期间黄金投资产品销售火爆,各路投资客纷纷进入黄金投资领域。由于产品线规划合理,瑞金国际投资产品克重从1克开始,首开小克重黄金投资先河,即使是消费力不高的普通百姓也能够参与黄金投资,分享投资收益。瑞金国际创新的产品开发,大大提升了黄金投资受益者的群体数量。

  在华北区域市场,瑞金国际与销售规模超百亿的黄金珠宝零售巨头北京菜市口百货,建立了长期战略合作关系。春节期间,北京菜百销售额暴增,瑞金国际产品专柜各类黄金产品,包括“红色文化”系列投资金银条、龙年投资理财新品“祥龙献瑞”金银条、全球最小实物投资金“五谷丰登”金种子、龙年贺岁新概念“瑞金福礼”红包等,凭借出色的产品创意和制作工艺,受到热情高涨的消费者强烈追捧。此外,在山西阳泉,更有一位年近六旬的老太太在瑞金国际销售点,一次性购买三公斤投资金条。在西南区域市场,昆百大珠宝凭借优良的口碑和地理占位优势,吸引了大批客源,其设置的瑞金国际专柜销售亦十分红火,消费者排队购买。

  在国家“藏金于民”政策的号召和影响下,我国黄金行业发展迅猛,越来越多的老百姓开始投资黄金、消费黄金。强劲的市场需求和科学技术的发展,也不断拉动我国黄金矿业的发展。中国黄金协会提供的最新统计数据显示,2011年中国黄金产量达到360.957吨,比上年增加20.081吨,增幅5.89%,再创历史新高,连续五年居世界第一。由此可见,投资黄金已经是大势所趋。

伦敦地下藏金4600吨



據《每日郵報》3日報導,在英格蘭銀行位於倫敦的地下金庫中,4600噸、目前市值1560億英鎊(約15522億元人民幣)的金條正躺在這兒,讓飽受金融危機衝擊而囊中羞澀的英國人終於有了盼頭。從金條的成色看,它們都熠熠發光,沒有氧化生鏽,甚至連一絲灰塵也沒有,顯然有清潔工的精心保養。
1999年5月,當國際金價一片頹勢時,時任財政部長的布朗面對如此巨大的黃金儲備,作出了拋售黃金的決定,僅兩年時間英國中央銀行英格蘭銀行就以每盎司275美元的均價拋售了約400噸的黃金儲備,據當時的報導稱,這些約佔英國黃金儲備量的一半以上。但隨後,國際金價持續攀升,甚至達到每​​盎司685美元,人們紛紛譴責布朗,稱其愚昧的拋售政策使英國至少損失39億美元(約245億元人民幣)。只要英國人手裡缺錢,就慣性地念叨此事,慣性地埋怨布朗,尤其在經濟蕭條、前景黯淡的今日,布朗儼然成了“替罪羊”。
這次英國媒體披露,地下金庫藏有4600噸黃金,令英國人大大鬆了一口氣。據金銀投資網較早前的報導稱,這些金條早已是英國央行地下金庫眾所周知的“秘密”。該報導稱,英國央行地下金庫位於英國倫敦老城區中心針線街上,存有30多萬條24K的純金金條,令人遺憾的是這些黃金並不全是英國的,其中也有一些外國政府交存的。
該金庫本是一個私密、巨大的地窖,僅“撬動”該金庫“笨重”大門的鑰匙就有近1米長,而且,僅將其插入鎖芯是無法開啟大門的,想進入該金庫還必須對著門口的麥克風報出一串密碼,門才將自動開啟。該金庫在二戰期間還曾當做防空洞使用,因此具有防彈功能,十分安全,也是除紐約美聯儲外世界第二大的金條存儲地。

春节黄金周名副其实 北京两商场售金近6亿

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黃金周名副其實北京兩商場售金近6億
歡迎繼續收看正在直播的經濟信息聯播。我們再來關注黃金消費的話題,春節七天假期,成了名符其實的“黃金周”。雖然今年黃金零售價較去年每克貴了60多元,但絲毫不影響消費者的購金熱情,賀歲金條、金元寶、擺件、“龍元素”飾品等受到消費者的熱捧,銷售十分火爆。
據商務部最新監測顯示,春節期間,北京菜百商場金銀珠寶銷售同比增長57.6%。天津金元寶商廈、上海天寶龍鳳銀樓和瀋陽商業城(12.53,0.24,1.95%)分別增長66.7%、61.8%和58.1%而據北京市商務委監測數據顯示,春節黃金周7天,僅黃金珠寶經營大戶菜百和國華商場兩家的累計銷售額就接近6億元。來看記者剛剛發回的報導。
記者今天來到國華商場,雖然因為今天是節後的第一​​個工作日,商場內的顧客不太多,但銷售人員介紹,節日期間,來購買金條的消費者非常多。
國華商場黃金部門經理曹秋霞,黃金現在有收藏價值,買投資金條的人也特別多,(銷售額)比去年同期增長兩倍。
記者了解到,今年國華商場僅龍年金條就多達10餘種,規格從10克、20克、30克到200克、500克、1000克都有。其中20克金條因為價格適中,成為最熱賣的品種。據銷售人員介紹,有很多大爺大媽們前來購買金條,不少人是給晚輩當壓歲錢。整個春節7天,國華商場的銷售額相比去年同期增長了20%。而在菜百、工美、太陽金店等賣場,節日期間也出現了各大櫃檯前顧客大排長龍購買龍年賀歲產品的火爆場面,除了自己佩戴,很多人選擇帶著家人前來購買,在這樣一個喜慶的節日里送上自己美好的祝福。
記者了解到,在黃金類賀歲產品中,以對墜、擺件、金銀條、吉祥錢、壓歲錢等多個品種為代表的貴金屬系列最受歡迎,尤其是壓歲錢,在春節之際用紅線編織,贈與家中的親人和孩子,寓意吉祥喜慶。此外,各種星座、卡通形象產品也受到了消費者的喜愛。
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上海:黃金熱銷“龍”主題​​金飾品賣斷貨
今年是龍年,在各地黃金消費熱潮中,以龍年為主題的金飾品更是供不應求,在上海的幾家知名金店,都出現了龍年金飾品斷貨的現象,一起到上海去看看
春節期間,記者走訪了上海市金山區的多家知名金店、商場看到,在各櫃檯前,帶有龍主題的金飾品,金條幾乎都已難以尋覓,市民梁先生告訴記者,自己已經跑了好幾家專櫃,想買一些帶龍的金飾品,但都沒貨了。
上海市民梁先生,我想來買一點金飾品,有龍的圖案的,然後過來買,都已經沒有了。
據金店工作人員介紹,這些天,雖然千足金的價格略有上漲,但黃金飾品的銷量依然搶手,特別是以龍年為主題的金飾品、金條、金擺件都是供不應求。
上海某金店店員,過年到現在,這個銷量總體來說比去年好了,翻了一倍,將近一倍有的,斷貨了嗎?斷了,那挂件都沒有,都賣完了。
上海某金店店員,基本上龍的挂件和金條都賣光了。大概在什麼時候就賣完了?初二就賣完了。就初一、初二短短兩天就賣完了?嗯,基本上就賣光了,就沒有了。要買要過一階段再來貨。大概要等到什麼時候?可能要初八以後。
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投資者看好黃金 專家提示震盪難免
我們注意到,2011年雖然黃金總體上漲,但是中間也有波動,甚至是非常劇烈的波動。那麼在2012年,黃金是否還是投資者的首選呢?一起來聽聽業內人士和專家的說法。
從去年四季度開始,國內的金條價格一直走低,價格的因素吸引了不少長期投資者逢低買入。
上海投資者,我們因為年齡偏大,就保守一點,買實物黃金,對吧。這要做T+D的話,就是我們,因為小年輕人的多,我們好像在盤上面做有點好像風險大一點。
不過也有一些黃金產品的短期投資者,由於對未來形勢沒有把握,他們只是試探性的少量投資。
上海投資者,那麼現在股市比較沒有這麼,上升的空間也不是很好。那麼我們有的時候,稍微弄一點紙上黃金,但是也是小規模的,也是試探性的。
記者了解到,紀念性的賀歲生肖金條一般都有題材和發行量的限制,價格的漲跌不一定與國際金價同步。但投資型金條價格的漲跌與國際金價緊密相關。在過去的一年,黃金價格曾一度升至每盎司1913.50美元的高位,此後便開始出現大幅震盪下跌,到去年年底,國際金價跌破1600美元每盎司,累計跌幅達16%。
上海仟家信投資管理有限公司
黃金投資分析師趙甜甜,是2012年在全年當中的話,黃金這個牛市還是沒有改變。
業內人士認為,美國量化寬鬆政策是否會延續,歐洲債務問題能否徹底解決,都會對整個國際市場產生重大影響。投資者判斷的難度將有所增大。並且,時間也是影響投資收益的關鍵因素。
興業銀行(微博)(14.18,0.03,0.21%)首席經濟學家魯政委(微博),黃金保值的最小的刻度最少也要以十年來計,如果你是指望說,今年投了,明年後年它的價格一定比今年高,那不一定。所以就是說,你如果投資的時間,就是說你的這個視野不是足夠的長,你出於保值的目的去買黃金,那我覺得這可能不是一種正確的思考方法。
國際金價一周上漲超4%
再來了解一下近期的國際金銀價格。在最近這一周裡,國際金價在美元下滑以及避險需求升溫的提振下連續創下新高,一周內的每盎司累積上漲68.2美元,漲幅為4.1%。分析人士認為,美國聯邦儲備委員會25日宣布維持超低利率政策直至2014年下半年的決定繼續為金價提供有力支撐。如果美聯儲決定再次注入流動性刺激經濟增長,將打壓美元進入下行通道,而美元走弱將直接提振以美元定價的黃金期貨。
受此影響,本週後三個交易日內國際金價漲幅已超過4%,並連續創下7週以來的新高。截至本週五,紐約商品交易所黃金期貨價格報收於每盎司1732.2美元,較前一個交易日上漲5.5美元。而國際銀價漲勢也十分明顯,週五3月份交貨的白銀期貨價格上漲4.7美分,收於每盎司33.79美元,一周內每盎司累積上漲1.52美元,漲幅為4.7%。
財經鏈接
專業機構:2012黃金有望突破2000美元建議買入
進入一月以來,國際金價一路走高,加上人們依然普遍認為黃金是避險保值的不二選擇,這讓黃金變得更加炙手可熱。那麼,未來黃金走向究竟如何?專業機構又持什麼樣的觀點呢?一起打開今天的財經鏈接。
全球最大黃金交易所基金美國SPDR可以說是黃金行業的風向標,據測算它的黃金持倉水平和金價之間的相關性可以達到91.5%,也就是說,它持倉越多,黃金未來上漲的空間就可能越大。而數據顯示,近三個交易日,SPDR連續增持黃金累計達20.56噸,這意味著,它對黃金後市非常看好。
路透社對45位分析師的觀點進行了調查,結果顯示,他們預測2012年現貨黃金的平均價格將達到每盎司1,765美元,這較2011年的平均價1,544美元高出14%。與2010年每盎司1,228美元相比,已高出26%。
花旗、瑞銀、摩根士丹利等數家大型銀行的預計更為樂觀,他們認為今年黃金的平均價格將突破每盎司2000美元,會超越2010年9月1920.30美元的歷史高位。花旗的年度展望報告稱,對黃金的前景維持看漲,預計3個月內黃金的目標價格為2000美元/盎司。渣打銀行(微博)也表示,雖然2011年黃金價格升勢強勁,但中期前景依然十分光明,建議買入。