2012年1月26日星期四

The 2012 Australian Koala Silver Coin Series

 http://www.perthmintbullion.com
This video shows production of the 2012 Australian Koala silver bullion coin series at Australia's Perth Mint. Made from 99.9% pure silver, this year's coins portray a sleeping koala.The latest annual designs for the Australian Gold and Silver Bullion Coin Program from The Perth Mint. Issued as Australian legal tender, these 2012-dated gold and silver coins are for investors who want to buy bullion and collectors who want precious metal coins with annual design changes. Struck from 99.99% pure gold and 99.9% pure silver in a wide variety of sizes, the Program comprises the Australian Kangaroo, Australian Kookaburra, Australian Koala and Australian Lunar coin series which marks the Year of the Dragon.

救經濟 英央行將加印數十億英鎊鈔票

 今朝食早餐...價錢已經加到28蚊,.....救命呀

全世都要印銀紙渡日

英國國債超過一兆英鎊,大約四十五兆台幣。而為了讓經濟活絡起來,英國央行決定加印幾十億英鎊的鈔票。
英國國債正式突破一兆英鎊。也就是說,英國現在一個家庭必須負擔起四萬英鎊的國債。每個人身上的債就有一萬六千英鎊。
另外,由於英國今年的經濟成長率只有百分之零點六,所以,央行決定增加貨幣供給。英國央行多半利用從商業銀行括金融機構,買回國債的方式釋出貨幣。

http://tw.news.yahoo.com 

金價 年內目標2300




【on.cc 東方互動 專訊】 東方產經「群星匯」專欄作者溫灼培:黃金礦業服務公司(GFMS)估計,2012年上半年金價基本上只維持於1,640美元徘徊,到了下半年估計黃金的平均價格將提升至1,840美元,而在波幅變化中,屆時料金價有機會碰觸2,000美元。GFMS解釋,各國貨幣的長遠走勢均在不同程度上令人感到失望。經歷了金融海嘯,投資者已對美元失去信心;最近經歷了歐債危機後,投資者也同時對歐元感失望,這造就了黃金的特殊需求。

GFMS今年對金價的預測與筆者不謀而合,筆者看好黃金基本因素有四個:首先,金價從去年創下的歷史高位1,920美元已調整不少。其次,聯儲局承諾到2013年6月前也不加息,而下個月歐洲央行更有很大機會減息,金沒息收,環球主要貨幣息率偏低對金價有幫助。

第三,英國去年12月失業人數創十七年新高,加上通脹回軟,英倫銀行很大機會於下月加推500億英鎊量化金額。市場估計,承接歐洲央行於去年12月推三年期再融資操作貸款(LTRO)的成功,有機會於2月份再加碼推出更多同類貸款。當歐洲央行與英倫銀行齊齊印銀紙,料金價最為受惠。

最後,中國政府最近一反常態,積極轉向支持內地股市。先有總理溫家寶的撐股市言論,再有養老基金入市消息。中國現為全球最大黃金需求國,亦是全球經濟火車頭之一,國內股市一旦回升,對環球投資氣氛以至金價也可視為利好因素。建議逐步收集黃金,今年目標2,300美元。

恆生投資服務有限公司首席分析員 溫灼培

When Will Silver Reach a New High?

By Andrey Dashkov, Casey Research
In last week's Metals, Mining, and Money from Casey Research, Jeff Clark estimated that given the magnitude of the correction that started last September, it may take until May 2012 for gold to reach a new high. Let's take a look at how long it may take for silver to rebound.
It's a commonly known fact that silver is more volatile than gold. Already in this decade, silver has risen by a factor of 12 from its ten-year low ($48.70 vs. $4.07), while gold has seen about a sevenfold climb ($255.95 vs. $1,895).
This volatility – as you'll see in a minute – holds for corrections as well. On average, silver's retreats have been deeper and longer than gold's. The three big gold corrections we looked at last week averaged 22.8%. Take a look at the three biggest for silver, along with how long it's taken to recover and establish new highs.


The three biggest silver corrections in the current bull market average to 42.1%.
Our recent correction is the second biggest on record since 2001, but what really makes it stand out is the duration. The 2004 and 2006 declines took only five and four weeks respectively to reach their low points. And it was 31 weeks after the crash of 2008 that silver bottomed. Our current decline, measured from the peak reached on April 28, 2011 to its December 29, 2011 low, spans 35 weeks… quite the determined downtrend.
It also takes silver longer to recover than gold: gold's three biggest corrections required an average of 57 weeks and 6 days to regain their old highs, while it's taken silver's three biggest falls an average of 98 weeks and 4 days to catch up.
So how long will it take to recover from the 2011 slump? We don't know the future, of course, but the current correction is close to the average of the three in the chart, so let's apply the average recovery time to our current situation. The average 42.1% correction took 98 weeks and 4 days to recover; using the same ratio, a 46.3% correction would take 108 weeks and 3 days. Counting from the previous peak of April 28, 2011, we wouldn't break the $48.70 high until May 26, 2013 (based on London PM Fix prices).
It shouldn't come as a surprise that silver will take longer to return to its old high than what we found with gold in last week's article. Why? Half of silver's use is industrial, so a weak economy can drag down its demand. We certainly saw that in 2008.
And an exact date is pure conjecture, of course, and ignores fundamental factors that directly influence the price. 2011 is not 2008. In fact, we've already seen an interesting shift in investment activity in both gold and silver markets. The Silver Institute pointed out in a recent market report that "investor activity" was the biggest contributing factor to both last April's rally as well as September's selloff. Meanwhile, demand for physical metal has not only held firm but was projected by GFMS to reach a new record high in 2011.
Investment demand is rooted in the metal's monetary characteristics. It's not a stretch to say that we expect silver to regain its currency appeal soon, given the amount of worldwide fiat currency destruction. This will be perhaps the strongest catalyst for prices going forward. We wouldn't want to be without any silver.
If there's anything that sticks out from this bird's-eye view of the past ten years of data, it's that corrections are normal. And just as obvious is the fact that corrections end.
As with gold, the silver bull market is far from over, regardless of any weakness we may see in the near term. Don't be the impatient investor who gives up too early. And trying to time the market for a short-term profit shouldn't be the strategy in the midst of a long-term bull market. Instead, keep silver's fundamentals in mind: its industrial uses are growing and, like gold, silver is money.
That said, we believe that the window for buying silver at $30 won't be open for too long. The profit you someday realize from silver will be made buying now, when the price is low.
[Precious metals and precious metal stocks can be a solid way to store wealth, but only if you invest wisely. Don't let yourself be robbed.]


www.silver-prices.net