On the heels of another plunge in gold and silver, today billionaire Eric Sprott warned King World News that the smash in gold and silver is being accomplished through unprecedented levels of dwindling Western central bank gold being supplied into the market. He also spoke about the massive gold and silver demand. Below is what Sprott, Chairman of Sprott Asset Management, had to say in part I of this remarkably powerful interview series.
Eric King: “Eric, I have to start of talking to you about this smash in gold and silver that we’ve seen here very recently. It’s continuing this morning, your thoughts here?”
Sprott: “As you
know, Eric, I take a big macro view of gold here, and what I sense all
along is that the Western central banks must really be running on fumes
when it comes to (physical) gold. I must say that I am never
disappointed by the data points that I see in physical gold.
For
example, I just saw the Perth Mint, their gold sales were up 50% and the
silver sales are up 70%. The Bank of England, the Royal Canadian Mint,
all of the sales are up and getting into seriously high numbers. All
the while, this is all predicated on the gold and silver supplies hardly
going up at all.
“And so the big
macros are (one): What is China doing? Now, we have one data point on
China and one only, and that’s exports from Hong Kong into mainland
China. But I can assure you there are exports (of gold) from places
different than Hong Kong, into China, but we don’t get to see the
numbers.
So I
can imagine (the immense) gold flows from Geneva to Shanghai, or London
to Beijing, or New York to Shanghai, but the Chinese don’t publish that
data. But the data (which is published) shows that China is (now)
importing over 100 tons (of gold) each month.
I
think for your listeners (and readers) the important thing to understand
is that 2 years ago, back in 2011, China imported something like 200
tons of gold. We’re (now seeing the Chinese) running at 1,200 tons of
gold. That’s a (staggering) 1,000 ton change in a 4,000 ton market.
That’s 25% of the market they are now gobbling up that they didn’t
gobble up 2 years ago, and through that whole time period the price of
gold has (remarkably) gone down.
I
think if anybody asked themselves if we heard the Chinese were buying
25% of the wheat market, the corn market, or the oil market, we would
all imagine the price had gone up. So I’ve long believed that the
central banks, through the raids on gold, the raid on GLD, and through
leasing, have provided this gold into China and other countries.
As Sean Boyd recently pointed out to you (on KWN),
you could look at 3 sources of gold (buying), India, China, and the
central banks, and you can almost account for all of the (entire world’s
annual) gold production. This really means that nobody else would be
able to buy gold, but we know there are lots of other people buying
gold.
So I
think there is a continued suppression going on -- the numbers
(definitely) argue for that. There aren’t a lot of numbers available,
but even the few we have, like the six or seven sources, I calculated a
year ago that there is a shortfall of something like 2,200 tons (of
gold) each year in a 4,000 ton market.
If I
updated the Chinese numbers it might be a (remarkable) 3,000 ton
shortfall, which by the way exceeds all (global) mine supply in the
(entire) year. So, I think, ultimately, not withstanding the stuff that
goes on on the COMEX, and as I thought about this interview it seemed
to me that the price of gold and silver almost flatlined for six hours
yesterday (laughter ensues). Then, bang! In one hour it goes down $25
between 3:00 and 3:30 AM (EST) in the morning (during very thin
trading), and then I guess another tranche down here (in price)
subsequent to the COMEX opening.
I
found it stunning that it would be flat all that time (yesterday), and
then all of the sudden there is this huge raid. You have to wonder,
well, you don’t wonder, you know exactly what’s going on, it’s being
marked down. And I suspect it might be because of the big decision
coming out of the FOMC next Wednesday.”
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