Supermoon 2016_Nov_14

人這一輩子，無非就是個過程，榮華花間露，富貴草上霜，生不帶來，死不帶去，得意些什麼？失意些什麼？順其自然、隨遇而安，如行雲般自在，像流水般灑脫，才是人生應有的態度。
買了就買了，不要去比價；
吃了就吃了，不要去後悔；
愛了就愛了，不要去猜疑；
散了就散了，不要去詆毀。
當你在高處的時候，
你的朋友知道你是誰。
當你墜落的時候，
你才知道你的朋友是誰。
你可能在一個人面前一文不值 ,
卻在另一個人面前是無價之寶。
謹記自己的價值所在，這就是人生的道理！
不必把太多人，請進生命裡。
遇到愛你的人，學會感恩；
遇到你愛的人，學會付出；
遇到嫉妒你的人，學會低調；
遇到你嫉妒的人，學會轉化；
遇到不懂你的人，學會溝通；
遇到你不懂的人，學會理解！
每個順其自然的背後，
都是想要改變卻不得的努力，
每個灑脫的背後都藏著不捨，
每個放下前都是掙扎，
每個人心裡都有不可言說的秘密。
一個人，就算再留念，如果你抓不住，就要適時放手。捨不得放，久了你會神傷，會心碎。
任何事，任何人，都會成為過去，不要跟它過不去，無論多難，我們都要學會抽身而退。
現在過的每一天，都是餘生中最年輕的一天。請不要老得太快，卻明白得太遲。很多錯誤不必親自試驗，在別人的經歷中吸取營養也是一種智慧。
一🍃佛心

Only Days Until World Money Changes Forever

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has established a plan for its special drawing rights (SDR) valuation basket to be revised at midnight on September 30. This IMF plan has laid the foundations for a new monetary standard based on world money.

While these SDR plans might seem complex, they’re actually not complicated. People will make it complicated or make it sound confusing but the Federal Reserve has a printing press, they can print dollars. The IMF also has a printing press and can print SDRs. It’s just world money that could be handed out and could be used to cause inflation.

I am often asked, “What’s an SDR? If I had 100 SDRs how many dollars would that be worth? How many euros would that be worth?”

There’s a formula for determining that, and as of today there are 4 currencies in the formula: dollars, sterling, yen, and euros. Those are the 4 currencies that comprise in the SDR calculation. As of the close of business on September 30th, or in effect when we wake up October 1st, there’s going to be a fifth currency added, which is the Chinese yuan.

The Chinese yuan does not meet the typical SDR criteria, so it would not normally qualify. However, this is a political decision by the IMF attempting to get China on the bus. In the 1960s we had an expression, “you’re either on the bus or off the bus,” and right now China’s off the bus but as of September 30th they’re going to be “on the bus.” They’re going to be part of the SDR.

Does that mean the dollar becomes worthless overnight? Of course not. You’re going to wake up October 1st, you’ll still have dollars in your pocket, you’ll still get paid in dollars, those will be worth something, but it will be a very significant turning point.

We will look back on that date a few years from now we’ll look back on September 30th, 2016 and reflect, “That was the day the dollar began its demise.” Officially that’s when the Chinese yuan was put into the SDR and the SDR gained the backing it needs from the emerging markets, from China and from the BRICS, to become the new world money.

It is definitely possible to see that coming. It will play out in stages. It doesn’t happen overnight, but it is one of those turning points. There are a lot of way to get ready for this, but don’t wait until it happens when the whole world says, “too bad about the dollar.”

This will be a key turning point. It’s one of those days when it should prompt people, really starting now, but certainly not later than September 30th, to act.

Here’s the point. The SDR world money, as I mentioned, is a “basket.” Today there’s 4 parts of the basket. In the future there will be 5 parts. The one that has been designed, the synthetic SDR, has the 5 parts because we know China’s coming in, we even know what their percentage is going to be.

What the SDR does is it takes you out of the currency wars. A lot of people are getting whipped around, with volatility for which they’re not getting paid. They’re having occasional large losses based on the currency wars.

The currency wars are not going away. Because you’ve got all 5 major currencies, it neutralizes the currency war activity and gives you a plan going forward.

- Source, James Rickards via the Daily Reckoning

Jim Rickards: This is the Elites Versus Everybody Else

黃金還要跌多少？前CIA反恐官員告訴你這幾個重要點位你一定要知道！

特朗普當選前後，金價先大幅上漲至1337後快速回落，抹去全部漲幅後再度跌至1250附近。
投資者普遍預期特朗普當選將利好黃金，那麼金價為何還出現如此強烈的過山車走勢？
前美國CIA反恐官員、技術分析師Christopher Aaron認為，當前金價處於月線級別的下跌趨勢以及去年底以來的漲勢分歧點。因此在這樣的區間出現劇烈的波動是投資者情緒的反映。
如下圖所示，金價自2011年高點1900開始回落，將該點與2012年高點1800連接，形成較強的下行趨勢壓制線。但自去年底的這波漲勢使得多頭有望打破這一下跌趨勢。

今年6月英國公投退歐後，金價上漲至1345-1375，一度觸及了多年來的下行趨勢上沿，11月9日特朗普當選當天，金價最高至1337，再度測試了這一下行趨勢上沿。
金價還能跌到哪？
將圖像放大來看，自去年底金價走出了一波較強的漲勢，在1270下方形成了較強的支撐區域，10月形成的第一個支撐點1250，是去年底至今年7月這波漲勢的61.8%斐波那契回撤位；1200是第二個較強的支撐點，金價觸及該點位，將會吸引很多買盤。

最後一個重要支撐位於1173，一旦該點位失守，則金價有望跌破前低1045甚至更低。
這將意味著今年這反彈徹底失敗，明年金價都很可能處於1000美元/盎司以下。
Christopher Aaron總結道，總的來說，特朗普當選引發的情緒性上漲，還不足以改變金價長期的下跌趨勢，但是需要看到的是，多頭正在努力突破這一下跌趨勢，如果上面提到的幾個重要點位形成顯著支撐，那麼不斷的上攻有望最終打破這一下跌壓制線。

http://www.goldtoutiao.com/ 

現金將變廢紙 印度市民向銀行瘋存近300億美元

300億美元....不少數目,如果呢的資金進入黃金就幾和味

印度總理莫迪在8日傍晚意外宣布500盧比和1000盧比面值的鈔票從午夜起不再是合法貨幣後，大量人群排隊存款，或者將手中的大額紙鈔換成小額，印度銀行收到2萬億盧比（約合298億美元）現鈔存款。
據印度央行此前公佈的數據，被禁用的500和1000盧比大額紙鈔佔流通紙鈔的86%，因此印度銀行體系補充現鈔供應的壓力劇增。
印度財政部12日晚間聲明稱，截至12日中午，銀行體系一共發生了超過7000萬筆交易。印度財長Jaitley表示，印度超過4000個貨幣庫將供應充足的鈔票，存取款設備的重新配置也將在兩週內完成。
印度央行行長Urjit Patel此前也表示，過去幾個月，銀行增加了一系列面值的紙鈔數量，整體市場流動性沒有受到影響。
一些經濟學家認為，印度此舉可能會在一段時間內抑製商業。
“由於減少了大額紙幣的流通，印度政府此舉實際上在無意中收緊了貨幣政策。短期內，它會產生負面影響，主要是因為金融環境趨緊。”Wells Fargo Investment Institute全球量化策略師Sameer Samana表示。
除了連夜去ATM機前提取100盧比面額紙鈔，以及去加油站和醫院把大額紙鈔花掉之外，還有很多印度市民湧入金店，某些珠寶店在午夜之後依然營業。金價隨之飆漲，印度黃金零售價在短短10多個小時間暴漲了15%—20%，有些地方價格高達2294美元/盎司。
莫迪8日傍晚意外宣布，500盧比和1000盧比面值的鈔票從午夜起退出流通，這兩類紙幣不再是合法貨幣。他稱這是政府打擊猖獗的腐敗和偽造貨幣行為的一部分。
“黑金和腐敗是消除貧困的最大障礙。”莫迪說。他曾在2014年競選時承諾，將把黑市資金引入正規金融體系。批評者稱他並未兌現當初的承諾。
研究機構Eurasia Group負責領導南亞分析師的Riser-Kositsky介紹稱，印度經濟發展受到未申報、未繳稅或地下流通的黑市的阻礙。
總部在華盛頓的智囊團Global Financial Integrity預計，印度在2002年和2011年期間損失了3440億美元的非法資金流出。

http://www.goldtoutiao.com/post/1610725

It may be time to buy gold: HSBC

shine in last quarter of 2016

BLOOMBERG

PUBLISHED : Saturday, 15 October, 2016, 

Gold bars are seen at the Kazakhstan's National Bank vault in Almaty, Kazakhstan. Photo: Reuters

HSBC Group analysts are telling clients that gold may be about to have another shining moment, as the precious metal’s status as a safe haven asset could boost prices, given the prospect of a looming downward shift in globalisation.

The firm’s Chief Precious Metals Analyst James Steel says in a note published on Friday that “demand for gold is often stimulated by the same factors that fan protectionist and populist sentiment” and that “abrupt declines in cross border trade, investment and immigration, the dislocation of global economic policies, and a beggar-thy-neighbor approach to trade is almost tailor-made for higher gold prices.”

Gold, US corporate bonds and selected emerging market government debt among best bets for turbulent fourth quarter

Wall Street and Washington have grown more concerned about the future of global trade in recent weeks. Analysts from Bank of America Merrill Lynch warned that “events show nations are becoming less willing to cooperate, more willing to contest.”

Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Jack Lew recently sought to launch a robust defence of globalisation, arguing that efforts to boost trade, combined with a more equitable distribution of the fruits of economic growth, are key to ensuring US prosperity.

Gold and silver bars laid in a row. Photo: Reuters

Steel argues that if these de-globalisation trends continue, gold will be a good investment. He writes that “gold prices tend to rise during periods of contraction in world trade,” while pointing out that the World Trade Organization cut back its expectations for global trade this year to a mere 1.7 per cent, compared with its 2.8 per cent projection in April.

Gold was trading at US$1,255 an ounce as of 10:55 a.m. in New York, and Steel says he grows more cautious above $1,400, citing the prospect of higher US rates, a stronger dollar, and a slowdown in physical demand.

Fizzling Chinese economy and global uncertainty sparks copper fall and gains in gold

While Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is considered to be more ‘protectionist and populist’ than Hillary Clinton, Steel says both candidates are bullish for gold.

“She favours addressing income inequality with incremental changes on tax and spending policies. But her spending proposals are mostly offset by proposed tax increases, with little impact on the federal budget deficit.” He adds, “This is gold-bullish, but not on the scale of Mr. Trump’s agenda.”

http://m.scmp.com/business/markets/article/2028278/it-may-be-time-buy-gold-hsbc

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